Insights

Market Efficiency Doesn’t Matter

In a recent discussion on the Advisor Perspectives website (it was in response to an article I wrote on the performance of Third Avenue Management’s actively managed funds), someone commented: “I am, for the most part, a proponent of passive investing, especially in asset classes (such as domestic equity) where the great majority of active…

Genes, Experience Affect Choices

Are you a value investor or a growth investor? Could your preference be influenced by a biological predisposition partially ingrained from birth? Is it possible that your choice of investment could be explained by your personal experiences, both early on and later in life? The field of behavioral finance advances psychology-based theories to explain investor…

Index Funds Win Across Borders

Thanks to Standard and Poor’s Indices Versus Active (SPIVA) scorecard, investors are becoming ever-more aware both of the persistent underperformance of the vast majority of actively managed funds as well the lack of evidence showing any persistence among the minority of winners beyond the randomly expected. This increasing awareness has led to an inexorable trend…

Keep Skewness In Perspective

Diego Amaya, Peter Christoffersen, Kris Jacobs and Aurelio Vasquez, authors of the new paper, “Does Realized Skewness Predict the Cross-Section of Equity Returns?”, examined higher moments of volatility, skewness and kurtosis to determine if they have provided incremental explanatory power in the cross section of stock returns. Before reviewing the authors’ findings, which appear in…

Collapsing Arguments for Conflicted Advice

I had an interesting experience recently. I gave a talk to a group of investors. In the audience were a few brokers. My presentation consisted of two basic points: 1. Send an email to your broker or financial advisor and ask them simply to confirm that they will always put your interests above their own…

Hedge Funds Dropping Like Flies

Fortress Investment Group is closing its flagship hedge fund following heavy losses and investor withdrawals. The fund, which had managed more than $8 billion in 2007, saw its assets fall to $3.2 billion at the start of 2015 and then again to just $1.6 billion at the time of this week’s announcement. Fortress’s fund, which…

What Your Financial Adviser Needs to Know About Your Brain

Behavioral economist Richard Thaler explains why financial professionals need to be familiar with psychology. Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky legitimized behavioral economics—the study of how people really behave around money, as opposed to how economists say a rational person ought to behave. Read the rest of the article on Time.

Hedge Funds Win With A Draw

The third quarter of 2015 brought hedge funds a very small amount of relief from their historically poor performance. Keep in mind, however, that hedge funds entered January coming off their sixth-straight year of trailing U.S. stocks by significant margins. And for the 10-year period from 2005 through 2014, which includes the worst bear market…

Stock Volatility Moves Treasurys

Understanding the volatility of Treasury bond returns, as well as the volatility of both the level and slope of the Treasury term-structure, are fundamental issues in finance. What’s more, they have important implications for investors and portfolio design. Researchers have offered both theory and empirical evidence that suggest important linkages between equity risk and the…

Correlations Can Be Predictive

Academic researchers have presented theory, as well as empirical evidence, suggesting certain linkages between equity risk and the Treasury bond market, a relationship that clearly has important implications for investors’ understanding of markets and portfolio design. Studies, for example, have found that greater economic uncertainty leads both to higher equity volatility and increased motives for…